Election 2000

Chronicle Election Preview



Click to Election Map

House of Representatives

The current breakdown in the House is GOP 222, Dems 211, Independents 2.

All 435 seats are up for election, but in only 27 races is there a serious chance of a seat changing parties.

Among the rest, the GOP figures to hold onto 204, Democrats 202, and two will stay independent.

Democrats will gain one seat in California, unopposed, and the GOP is favored to pick up two, in New York and Virginia.

That would make it GOP 206, Dems 203, with 24 races considered too close to call; of those, 17 are currently held by Republicans, 7 by Democrats.

NCF = No Clear Favorite; RC = Roll Call's Picks; CQ = Congressional Quarterly's Picks


State-District

Where is that?

Incumbent

RC

CQ

Notes

California-31

L.A. (El Monte)

R - Open

Safe D

Safe D

Veteran Matt Martinez switched parties after losing Democratic primary

New York-1

East Long Island

D - Open

Leans R

R favored

Party-switcher Michael Forbes lost in Democratic primary for Hamptons district

Virginia-2

Virginia Beach

D - Open

Leans R

Leans R

Redistricting gives GOP edge to take seat of retiring Owen Pickett

Arkansas-4

Pine Bluff

R - Jay Dickey

Tossup

Leans R

Heated battles between Dickey and black Democratic constituents

California-15

Silicon Valley

R - Open

Tossup

NCF

Tom Campbell running for Senate; trailing Dianne Feinstein

California-27

L.A. (Pasadena)

R - James Rogan

Tossup

Leans D

Impeachment star in deep trouble in traditionally Democratic district

California-36

L.A. (Torrance)

R - Steve Kuykendall

Tossup

NCF

Democrat Jane Harman running for her old seat after failed Ca. governor bid in 1998

California-49

San Diego

R - Brian Bilbray

Tossup

NCF

District includes downtown, naval bases, UC San Diego, and large gay neighborhood

Florida-8

Orlando

R - Open

Leans R

NCF

Impeachment star Bill McCollum running for open Florida Senate seat

Illinois-10

North of Chicago

R - Open

Tossup

NCF

Dems targeted Illinois' wealthiest district to replace retiring John Edward Porter

Indiana-8

Evansville

R - John Hostettler

Leans R

NCF

District includes both working-class Evansville and college-town Bloomington

Kentucky- 6

Lexington

R - Ernie Fletcher

Tossup

NCF

Democrat Scotty Baelser running for old seat after narrow loss in 1998 Senate race

Montana-At Large

Statewide

R - Open

Tossup

NCF

Rick Hill retiring; state schools chief leading potential Democratic sweep

New Jersey-7

Plainfield

R - Open

Tossup

NCF

Bob Franks running for Senate; Dems targeting soccer-mom district

New York-2

Central Long Island

R - Open

Leans R

NCF

Rick Lazio's late jump into Senate race left Rs without strong candidate here

Oklahoma-2

Muskogee

R - Open

Leans R

NCF

Dr. Tom Coburn retiring; Ds have a chance in poor, rural district

Pennsylvania-10

Scranton

R - Donald Sherwood

Tossup

NCF

Rematch of 1998 race, one of the tightest in the nation

Utah-2

Salt Lake City

R - Open

Tossup

Leans D

Disgraced GOP rep Merrill Cook lost primary for long-volatile seat

Washington-2

Bellingham

R - Open

Tossup

NCF

Jack Metcalf's retirement may return former stronghold to the Democrats

Washington-5

Spokane

R - George Nethercutt

Tossup

Leans R

Term-limit poster boy breaks pledge, draws fire from all sides

Connecticut-5

Waterbury

D - Jim Maloney

Tossup

NCF

Rematch of 1998 race, won by Maloney by less than 0.5 percent

Michigan-8

Lansing

D - Open

Tosup

NCF

Another town vs. gown district; Debbie Stabenow quit to run for Senate

Minnesota-6

Twin Cities suburbs

D - Bill Luther

Leans D

NCF

Less-than inspiring campaigner in rematch with ret. Marine Corps officer John Cline

Missouri-6

KC/St. Joseph

D - Open

Tossup

NCF

Pat Danner retiring; son Steve Danner, former state senator, has narrow lead

New Jersey-12

Princeton

D - Rush Holt

Tossup

Leans R

Princeton physics professor facing rematch with former Rep. Dick Zimmer

Pennsylvania-4

North of Pittsburgh

D - Open

Tossup

NCF

Ron Klink trailing in Senate race against Rick Santorum

Pennsylvania-13

NW Philadelphia

D - Joe Hoeffel

Tossup

Leans D

Former GOP stronghold, mainline suburbs drifting into Democratic camp

A note to readers: Bold and uncensored, The Austin Chronicle has been Austin’s independent news source for almost 40 years, expressing the community’s political and environmental concerns and supporting its active cultural scene. Now more than ever, we need your support to continue supplying Austin with independent, free press. If real news is important to you, please consider making a donation of $5, $10 or whatever you can afford, to help keep our journalism on stands.

Support the Chronicle  

NEWSLETTERS
One click gets you all the newsletters listed below

Breaking news, arts coverage, and daily events

Can't keep up with happenings around town? We can help.

Austin's queerest news and events

New recipes and food news delivered Mondays

All questions answered (satisfaction not guaranteed)

Information is power. Support the free press, so we can support Austin.   Support the Chronicle