Election 2000
Chronicle Election Preview
Fri., Nov. 3, 2000
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House of Representatives
The current breakdown in the House is GOP 222, Dems 211, Independents 2.All 435 seats are up for election, but in only 27 races is there a serious chance of a seat changing parties.
Among the rest, the GOP figures to hold onto 204, Democrats 202, and two will stay independent.
Democrats will gain one seat in California, unopposed, and the GOP is favored to pick up two, in New York and Virginia.
That would make it GOP 206, Dems 203, with 24 races considered too close to call; of those, 17 are currently held by Republicans, 7 by Democrats.
NCF = No Clear Favorite; RC = Roll Call's Picks; CQ = Congressional Quarterly's Picks
State-District | Where is that? | Incumbent | RC | CQ | Notes | |||||
California-31 | L.A. (El Monte) | R - Open | Safe D | Safe D | Veteran Matt Martinez switched parties after losing Democratic primary | |||||
New York-1 | East Long Island | D - Open | Leans R | R favored | Party-switcher Michael Forbes lost in Democratic primary for Hamptons district | |||||
Virginia-2 | Virginia Beach | D - Open | Leans R | Leans R | Redistricting gives GOP edge to take seat of retiring Owen Pickett | |||||
Arkansas-4 | Pine Bluff | R - Jay Dickey | Tossup | Leans R | Heated battles between Dickey and black Democratic constituents | |||||
California-15 | Silicon Valley | R - Open | Tossup | NCF | Tom Campbell running for Senate; trailing Dianne Feinstein | |||||
California-27 | L.A. (Pasadena) | R - James Rogan | Tossup | Leans D | Impeachment star in deep trouble in traditionally Democratic district | |||||
California-36 | L.A. (Torrance) | R - Steve Kuykendall | Tossup | NCF | Democrat Jane Harman running for her old seat after failed Ca. governor bid in 1998 | |||||
California-49 | San Diego | R - Brian Bilbray | Tossup | NCF | District includes downtown, naval bases, UC San Diego, and large gay neighborhood | |||||
Florida-8 | Orlando | R - Open | Leans R | NCF | Impeachment star Bill McCollum running for open Florida Senate seat | |||||
Illinois-10 | North of Chicago | R - Open | Tossup | NCF | Dems targeted Illinois' wealthiest district to replace retiring John Edward Porter | |||||
Indiana-8 | Evansville | R - John Hostettler | Leans R | NCF | District includes both working-class Evansville and college-town Bloomington | |||||
Kentucky- 6 | Lexington | R - Ernie Fletcher | Tossup | NCF | Democrat Scotty Baelser running for old seat after narrow loss in 1998 Senate race | |||||
Montana-At Large | Statewide | R - Open | Tossup | NCF | Rick Hill retiring; state schools chief leading potential Democratic sweep | |||||
New Jersey-7 | Plainfield | R - Open | Tossup | NCF | Bob Franks running for Senate; Dems targeting soccer-mom district | |||||
New York-2 | Central Long Island | R - Open | Leans R | NCF | Rick Lazio's late jump into Senate race left Rs without strong candidate here | |||||
Oklahoma-2 | Muskogee | R - Open | Leans R | NCF | Dr. Tom Coburn retiring; Ds have a chance in poor, rural district | |||||
Pennsylvania-10 | Scranton | R - Donald Sherwood | Tossup | NCF | Rematch of 1998 race, one of the tightest in the nation | |||||
Utah-2 | Salt Lake City | R - Open | Tossup | Leans D | Disgraced GOP rep Merrill Cook lost primary for long-volatile seat | |||||
Washington-2 | Bellingham | R - Open | Tossup | NCF | Jack Metcalf's retirement may return former stronghold to the Democrats | |||||
Washington-5 | Spokane | R - George Nethercutt | Tossup | Leans R | Term-limit poster boy breaks pledge, draws fire from all sides | |||||
Connecticut-5 | Waterbury | D - Jim Maloney | Tossup | NCF | Rematch of 1998 race, won by Maloney by less than 0.5 percent | |||||
Michigan-8 | Lansing | D - Open | Tosup | NCF | Another town vs. gown district; Debbie Stabenow quit to run for Senate | |||||
Minnesota-6 | Twin Cities suburbs | D - Bill Luther | Leans D | NCF | Less-than inspiring campaigner in rematch with ret. Marine Corps officer John Cline | |||||
Missouri-6 | KC/St. Joseph | D - Open | Tossup | NCF | Pat Danner retiring; son Steve Danner, former state senator, has narrow lead | |||||
New Jersey-12 | Princeton | D - Rush Holt | Tossup | Leans R | Princeton physics professor facing rematch with former Rep. Dick Zimmer | |||||
Pennsylvania-4 | North of Pittsburgh | D - Open | Tossup | NCF | Ron Klink trailing in Senate race against Rick Santorum | |||||
Pennsylvania-13 | NW Philadelphia | D - Joe Hoeffel | Tossup | Leans D | Former GOP stronghold, mainline suburbs drifting into Democratic camp |
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