Chronicle Election Preview
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Presidential RaceBush leads in 23 states, for a total of 205 electoral votes.
Gore leads in 11 states plus D.C., for a total of 171 electoral votes.
Some 16 states, with 162 electoral votes, are still in play with less than a week left before the election:
Trending to Bush:
Arkansas, 6, In latest polls, Bush has a slight edge in Bill Clinton's home state
Maine, 4, Has gone Democratic three times in a row, but Bush has a slight lead
Nevada, 4, Bush didn't expect any trouble here, but hasn't been able to put this one in the bank
New Hampshire, 4, Bush has a slight lead in this largely Republican state, but trails among independents
West Virginia, 5, Traditionally Dem state mistrusts Gore's environmentalism; Bush pulling ahead
Trending to Gore:
Florida, 25, Gore has forged a 3-5 point lead over the last week in Jeb Bush's home state
Michigan, 18, Probably a must-win for Gore; he needs big support from Big Labor
Pennsylvania, 23, Gore has a big lead in the cities; must seal the deal in the suburbs and industrial belt
Wisconsin, 11, Gore clings to a slight lead, but between Nader and GOP Gov. Tommy Thompson, who knows?
Washington, 11, Traditionally Democratic, and Gore led early, but this is another Nader stronghold
That would put Bush at 228, Gore at 259, with 270 needed to win, and six states, with 51 electoral votes, too close to call:
Iowa, 7, GOP has pushed hard in this traditionally Democratic state
Minnesota, 10, Used to look safe for Gore, but with Nader close to double digits, lead has slipped away
Missouri, 11, The Show-Me State has picked the winner 24 of last 25 times; it's dead-even in the polls
New Mexico, 5, Big test of Bush's appeal to Latinos, who comprise 38% of the voters; traditionally Dem
Oregon, 7, Probably Nader's best state, so what looked like an easy Gore win a while back now isn't
Tennessee, 11, Bush has worked hard here; Gore could be first since McGovern to lose his home state
Let's see, then -- call Minnesota for Gore, and say Bush sweeps the rest, and you come out with a 269-269 dead heat in electoral votes (that's right, there's an even number). Barring any unforeseen flipping on the part of the individual electors -- who, by law, are free to vote for anyone they want -- that would send the choice of the next president into the House of Representatives ... which brings us back to Bernie Sanders.