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Senate
The current breakdown in the Senate is GOP 54, Dems 46.
Only 34 seats are up for election this year; of those which aren’t, GOP holds 35 seats, Democrats hold 31.
Dem incumbents lead in 10 states: California, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Maryland, North Dakota, New Mexico, Wisconsin, West Virginia.
GOP incumbents lead in 11 states: Arizona, Indiana, Maine, Mississippi, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Wyoming.
If Dems hold Nebraska, it would be GOP 46, Dems 41, with 12 races considered too close to call; of those, 8 are currently held by GOP, 4 by Democrats.
NCF = No Clear Favorite; RC = Roll Call‘s Picks; CQ = Congressional Quarterly‘s Picks
State |
Incumbent |
RC |
CQ |
Notes |
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Delaware |
R – William Roth |
Tossup |
NCF |
79-year-old Finance Committee chair struggling vs. Gov. Tom Carper |
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Florida |
R – Open |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Bill McCollum still in race vs. former rep. Bill Nelson to succeed Connie Mack |
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Michigan |
R – Spencer Abraham |
Tossup |
NCF |
Debbie Stabenow�s chances vs. Abraham largely depend on Gore�s turnout in state |
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Minnesota |
R – Rod Grams |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Scandal-plagued freshman in real trouble vs. Target store heir Mark Dayton |
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Missouri |
R – John Ashcroft |
Leans R |
NCF |
Jean Carnahan agreed to take late husband�s place if he wins; race now even in polls |
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Montana |
R – Conrad Burns |
Leans R |
NCF |
Latest polls show Brian Schweitzer even as Democrats pick up speed in Big Sky state |
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Rhode Island |
R – Lincoln Chafee |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Incumbent son of late Sen. John Chafee helped by father�s legacy in typically Dem state |
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Washington |
R – Slade Gorton |
Tossup |
NCF |
RealNetworks millionaire, ex-Rep. Maria Cantwell neck and neck with three-term incumbent |
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Nebraska |
D – Open |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Bob Kerrey is retiring; eight-year Gov. Ben Nelson will probably hold seat for Dems |
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New Jersey |
D – Open |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Free-spending D Jon Corzine hitting backlash in race to succeed Frank Lautenberg |
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Nevada |
D – Open |
Leans R |
Leans R |
In third try at statewide office, ex-rep. John Ensign leads to replace Richard Bryan |
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New York |
D – Open |
Tossup |
NCF |
Hillary Clinton holds slimmest of leads over Rick Lazio in race to replace Pat Moynihan |
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Virginia |
D – Chuck Robb |
Tossup |
NCF |
Most vulnerable Dem incumbent trailing ex-gov. George Allen in most polls |
This article appears in November 3 • 2000.

