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Senate

The current breakdown in the Senate is GOP 54, Dems 46.

Only 34 seats are up for election this year; of those which aren’t, GOP holds 35 seats, Democrats hold 31.

Dem incumbents lead in 10 states: California, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Maryland, North Dakota, New Mexico, Wisconsin, West Virginia.

GOP incumbents lead in 11 states: Arizona, Indiana, Maine, Mississippi, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Wyoming.

If Dems hold Nebraska, it would be GOP 46, Dems 41, with 12 races considered too close to call; of those, 8 are currently held by GOP, 4 by Democrats.

NCF = No Clear Favorite; RC = Roll Call‘s Picks; CQ = Congressional Quarterly‘s Picks


State

Incumbent

RC

CQ

Notes

Delaware

R – William Roth

Tossup

NCF

79-year-old Finance Committee chair struggling vs. Gov. Tom Carper

Florida

R – Open

Tossup

Leans D

Bill McCollum still in race vs. former rep. Bill Nelson to succeed Connie Mack

Michigan

R – Spencer Abraham

Tossup

NCF

Debbie Stabenow�s chances vs. Abraham largely depend on Gore�s turnout in state

Minnesota

R – Rod Grams

Tossup

Leans D

Scandal-plagued freshman in real trouble vs. Target store heir Mark Dayton

Missouri

R – John Ashcroft

Leans R

NCF

Jean Carnahan agreed to take late husband�s place if he wins; race now even in polls

Montana

R – Conrad Burns

Leans R

NCF

Latest polls show Brian Schweitzer even as Democrats pick up speed in Big Sky state

Rhode Island

R – Lincoln Chafee

Tossup

Leans R

Incumbent son of late Sen. John Chafee helped by father�s legacy in typically Dem state

Washington

R – Slade Gorton

Tossup

NCF

RealNetworks millionaire, ex-Rep. Maria Cantwell neck and neck with three-term incumbent

Nebraska

D – Open

Leans D

Leans D

Bob Kerrey is retiring; eight-year Gov. Ben Nelson will probably hold seat for Dems

New Jersey

D – Open

Tossup

Leans D

Free-spending D Jon Corzine hitting backlash in race to succeed Frank Lautenberg

Nevada

D – Open

Leans R

Leans R

In third try at statewide office, ex-rep. John Ensign leads to replace Richard Bryan

New York

D – Open

Tossup

NCF

Hillary Clinton holds slimmest of leads over Rick Lazio in race to replace Pat Moynihan

Virginia

D – Chuck Robb

Tossup

NCF

Most vulnerable Dem incumbent trailing ex-gov. George Allen in most polls

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