Stats Man

FiveThirtyEight.com's Nate Silver on the state of the nation

"...into one of the election's most closely watched blogs, FiveThirtyEight.com. Outflanking pollsters through the primary elections, he accurately predicted..."

March 6, 2009 Screens Feature by Wells Dunbar

When Is Austin Not “Austin”?

Debate flares over research on Black Austin diaspora

"...this week, Kirk Goldsberry posted an essay on the FiveThirtyEight politics site responding to recent research reflecting the decline..."

Jan. 29, 2015 News Post by Michael King

Soccer Watch

"...their roster with familiar faces from last year. FWIW, FiveThirtyEight.com (projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/usl) projects the Bold to finish fifth in the..."

Feb. 21, 2020 Sports Column by Nick Barbaro

Soccer Watch

"...FiveThirtyEight.com's new interactive page, "Which World Cup Team Should You..."

Jan. 5, 2018 Sports Column by Nick Barbaro

Where Is My Mind?

Texas Republicans and Democrats overreact to Massachusetts

"...be that, according to Andrew Gelman's analysis over at FiveThirtyEight.com, Brown's voting record in the Massachusetts legislature puts him..."

Jan. 20, 2010 News Post by Richard Whittaker

Public Notice: Are You a Felon?

Delta-8 products are now considered Schedule 1 narcotics; plus: boards and commissions evicted from City Hall

"...Created an Unregu­lated THC Market," published this week on fivethirtyeight.com.) And now Texas has joined in, making felons out..."

Oct. 22, 2021 News Column by Nick Barbaro

Soccer Watch

"...out of the playoffs altogether. For what it's worth, FiveThirtyEight.com at the moment projects Austin and San Antonio FCs..."

Sept. 27, 2019 Sports Column by Nick Barbaro

Julian Castro and Beto O'Rourke Highlight Rivalry at Events in Austin

For now, there's room enough in Texas for both its 2020 favorite sons

"...pack of 2020 Dems; the snap post-debate polling by FiveThirtyEight and Morning Consult shows O'Rourke and Castro in seventh..."

June 29, 2019 News Post by Mike Clark-Madison

Soccer Watch

"...the home opener against San Antonio on March 30. FiveThirtyEight.com rates the Bold at a 64% chance of making..."

March 8, 2019 Sports Column by Nick Barbaro

Congressional Crossroads

Profiles of Austin’s six congressional campaigns

"...The “District Snapshots” rely upon the analytical web site FiveThirtyEight.com (contributions drawn from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

TX-17: Rick Kennedy vs. Bill Flores

"Kitchen-table issues"

"...and even willing to joke about it. Reminded that FiveThirtyEight reports his chances (Sept. 22) as "1 in 100,"..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

Mr. Smarty Pants Knows

"...According to FiveThirtyEight.com, a 1969 track called "Amen, Brother" by the Winstons..."

Oct. 28, 2016 Column by Mr. Smarty Pants

Point Austin: Thanksgiving Reflections

There is no better time than Thanksgiving to reflect on the complicated and mixed history of our nation

"...giving thanks for Nate Silver, the statistics guru of FiveThirtyEight.com, who posted a helpful piece Monday headlined, "Dear Media,..."

Nov. 27, 2015 News Column by Michael King

SXSW Drafts Sports to the Team

SXsports debuts with big-name panelists Bill Simmons, Nate Silver

"...Simmons; resident stat geek Nate Silver, whose massively influential FiveThirtyEight.com recently got purchased outright by ESPN, which also owns..."

Oct. 1, 2013 SXSW Post by Chase Hoffberger

SXSW Interactive Conference Quick Cuts

Statistician Nate Silver on more data, more problems

"...On his New York Times blog, FiveThirtyEight, and in his 2012 book, The Signal and the..."

March 15, 2013 Screens Feature by Audra Schroeder

Who's on Sixth? Perry

Governor finally declares, but trails in Ames poll

"...bailed from the race. The number crunchers over at FiveThirtyEight have some bleak news for Perry: If their calculations..."

Aug. 14, 2011 News Post by Richard Whittaker

Texas Times Five

Fivethirtyeight.com asks what might happen if Texas split itself up

"...This notion fascinated Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight.com – a blog that made a name for itself..."

April 24, 2009 News Post by Lee Nichols

Silver and the Cloudy Future

Head of election prognosticators fivethirtyeight.com talks at SXSW about the limits of prediction

"...revered amongst election wonks because of his number-crunching website fivethirtyeight.com. For people scared off by concepts like "regression analysis",..."

March 16, 2009 SXSW Post by Richard Whittaker

What the Polls Show

Who's on first? Depends on what day it is.

"...Fivethirtyeight.com: 351 / 187 / 0*..."

Oct. 31, 2008 News Feature by Lee Nichols

The Verde Report: What You Need to Know About the MLS Cup Playoffs in Austin

When and how to watch Austin FC in their first-ever playoff match

"...the rest of the season shakes out. According to FiveThirtyEight, Portland, Minnesota, and LA Galaxy are the three likeliest..."

Sept. 23, 2022 Sports Column by Eric Goodman

Greg Casar and Eddie Rodriguez Fight for the Progressive Mantle in TX-35

The two candidates race to the left

"...Democratic firm which maintains an A/B pollster rating from FiveThirtyEight. The most recent poll, conducted Jan. 4-9 among 400..."

Feb. 4, 2022 News Feature by Austin Sanders

Election Ticker: Are We There Yet?

The latest – and last! – news from the campaign trail before Election Day

"..."Toss-Up" column in the presidential race. The Econo­mist and FiveThirtyEight still have Trump slightly favored to win the state...."

Oct. 30, 2020 News Feature by the News Staff

Austin's Blue Surge Pushes Wendy Davis and Mike Siegel Toward D.C.

After losing recent elections, two candidates come out fighting

"...As of Wednesday, Oct. 7, the FiveThirtyEight polling average for Texas shows Donald Trump with a..."

Oct. 9, 2020 News Feature by Mike Clark-Madison

Ted Cruz, Julián Castro Lead Texas Tribune Festival Lineup

September politico fest draws 400 speakers

"...activism group • Nate Silver, founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com • Former U.S. Rep. Chris Bell; Houston City Council..."

Aug. 1, 2019 News Post by Kimberley Jones

Beto, Castro Come to Town

2020 Texans throw shade as rivalry heats up

July 5, 2019 News Feature by Mike Clark-Madison

TX-10: Mike Siegel vs. Michael McCaul

"Restoring common decency"

"...FiveThirtyEight odds of D pickup: 1 in 20 (4.8%)..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

TX-21: Joseph Kopser vs. Chip Roy

"All about energy"

"...FiveThirtyEight odds of D pickup: 1 in 5 (13.6%)..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

TX-25: Julie Oliver vs. Roger Williams

"A huge commitment"

"...FiveThirtyEight odds of D pickup: 1 in 20 (5.8%)..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

TX-31: MJ Hegar vs. John Carter

"Quality of representation"

"...FiveThirtyEight odds of D pickup: 1 in 6 (18.2%)..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

TX-35: Lloyd Doggett vs. David Smalling

“Maximum effort everywhere”

"...FiveThirtyEight odds of D win: 99.9%..."

Oct. 5, 2018 News Feature by Michael King

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