Where Are the CD 10 Votes?

The heaviest source of votes in this district is Travis County, although Harris and the rural counties have enough to dominate.

Almost half of McCaul's support came from Harris, with the rest more or less split between Travis and the rurals. Democrat Ankrum, on the other hand, was heavily dependent on Travis, which accounted for 58% of his support. (Interestingly, Libertarian Badnarik's support broke along almost the exact same county lines as Ankrum.)

If a Democratic candidate chooses to focus his campaign geographically, this leaves two strategies: work Harris and the rurals, or mine Travis for more? Larry Joe Doherty, confident of his reputation in Houston and the country, has chosen the latter, hoping to knock down McCaul's percentage here.

	Travis	Harris	Rurals
Regional votes	74,352	65,514	36,889
% of distinct vote	42%	37%	21%
Winner, margin	Ankrum, 56%	McCaul, 71%	McCaul, 61%
Where each candidate got his votes
McCaul (R)	28,576 (29%)	46,595 (48%)	22,555 (23%)
Ankrum (D)	41,351 (58%)	17,070 (24%)	12,994 (18%)
Badnarik (L)	4,425 (58%)	1,849 (24%)	1,340 (18%)

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Breakdown of the 2006 General Election

County	McCaul (R)	Ankrum (D)	Badnarik (L)	% of TotalVotes
Travis	28,576 - 38%	41,351 - 56%	4,425 - 6%	42%
Bastrop	2,318 - 47%	2,378 - 48%	280 - 6%	3%
Burleson	1,780 - 54%	1,406 - 43%	105 - 3%	2%
Lee	2,354 - 59%	1,523 - 38%	131 - 3%	2%
Waller	4,555 - 59%	2,941 - 38%	233 - 3%	4%
Austin	5,229 - 68%	2,252 - 29%	202 - 3%	4%
Washington	6,319 - 69%	2,494 - 27%	389 - 4%	5%
Harris	46,595 - 71%	17,070 - 26%	1,849 - 3%	37%
Total	97,726 - 55%	71,415 - 40%	7,614 - 4%	100%

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Past Results

2008 Primaries

Larry Joe Doherty (D)	51,977	61%
Dan Grant (D)	33,072	39%
Michael McCaul (R)(unopposed)	44,214	100%

2006 General

Michael McCaul (R)	97,726	55%
Ted Ankrum (D)	71,415	40%
Michael Badnarik (L)	7,614	4%

2004 General

Michael McCaul (R)	182,113	79%
Robert Fritsche (L)	35,569	15%
Lorenzo Sadun (D)W-I	13,961	6%