Lege Races: Austin and Elsewhere
These candidates are all over the map on issues
With only eight Texas Senate seats contested in the November elections, a leadership switch in the upper chamber next session seems unlikely. So once again, the House will be the major battleground as Republicans try to reinforce their slim majority (77-73, after one party switch) and Democrats hope to switch the knife-edge balance of power. The problem for the GOP is that several sitting state reps face tough challenges from the right, some from grassroots anti-tax candidates, others backed and well-funded by hyperconservative think tanks and lobby groups. House Republicans already sustained major losses after several prominent incumbents – including San Antonio's conservative mainstay Frank Corte and House Calendars Committee Chair Brian McCall of Plano – announced they would not be running again.
The Democrats have taken their own share of hits. After years of swirling corruption rumors, Terri Hodge of Dallas pled guilty to tax evasion and is standing down, while questions of crumbling party unity were raised when Jacksonville state Rep. Chuck Hopson announced he was switching parties last November. However, with recent Texas Credit Union League polling showing that faith in incumbents from either party is well below 50%, there could be more seats truly up for grabs in both March and November than in recent history.
Travis County GOP
HOUSE DISTRICT 47: (Incumbent: Valinda Bolton, D) This initially seemed to be a fight between developer and former Real Estate Council of Austin board member Paul Workman and recent Austin transplant Holly White Turner. Both have fearsome campaign teams (Workman hired Eric Bearse, former communications director for Gov. Rick Perry, while Turner's husband, Chris, is a partner in award-winning campaign consultancy Murphy Turner Associates), but late-filing tax attorney David Sewell has gained traction on the fundraising front.
HD 50: (Incumbent: Mark Strama, D) The Republican Party of Texas basically abandoned Strama's 2008 opponent Jerry Mikus to his own devices. So far, the two GOP contenders in 2010 have yet to prove real fundraising muscle, with Ron Paul-style Libertarian Ryan Lambert pulling in $1,302 and self-described Reagan Republican Patrick McGuinness ahead with $5,380.
Williamson County GOP
SENATE DISTRICT 5: Senate Finance Committee Chair Steve Ogden, R-Bryan, originally planned to resign. When he changed his mind, to work on the next budget, everyone expected Home and Land Owners Association of Texas founder Ben Bius to step aside. Instead, he stayed in the race, challenging the Senate's leading money man for not being conservative enough on taxes and gun rights.
HD 20: The year's most unexpected primary came when Georgetown Republican Dan Gattis announced he would not be running again. Former Republican Party of Texas Political Director Milton Rister is this race's Capitol insider, but with former Cedar Park Mayor Pro Tem Stephen Thomas, surgeon Charles Schwertner, and retiree Patsy Williams all on the GOP ballot, this may go to a run-off.
HD 52: Dislodging freshman Rep. Diana Maldonado, D-Round Rock, may be the biggest test of Republican strength in Central Texas. Williamson County Republican Party founder John Gordon is back for another shot, joined by three first-time candidates: ex-legislative staffer Alyssa Eacono, former Texas Supreme Court clerk Stephen Casey, and ex-Texas State University System Assistant Vice Chancellor Larry Gonzales. The danger for the WilCo GOP? A bloody four-way primary for this seat in 2008 almost ripped the party in two.
Elsewhere in the State
HD 146, THE BIZARRE RERUN: In 2006, Democrat Borris Miles pushed out controversial incumbent Al Edwards in the primary. But Miles' wild antics – e.g., hiding pictures from the Capitol walls he didn't approve of – meant Edwards ousted him in 2008. Now Miles is back for round three.
HD 92, THE STATEWIDE BAROMETER: Anti-tax attack-dog political action committee Empower Texans has declared war on Euless' GOP incumbent Todd Smith, blaming the House Elections Committee chair for the failure of their 2009 "hard" voter ID bill (rather than accepting their responsibility for killing Smith's bipartisan "soft" voter ID bill). So the popular rep is now in a potential death struggle with former Bedford city councilor and "9/12"-er Jeff Cason.